World Cup 2026

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Matchday 1 · Group A · 2026-06-11
South Korea
xG 3.58
HT 0–02 – 1
Czech Republic
xG 2.18
South Korea Hwang In-Beom 67′, Oh Hyeon-Gyu 80′  ·  Czech Republic Ladislav Krejcí 59′
Estadio Akron · 44,985 attendance
The story

A mild upset: South Korea (44% pre-match) got past Czech Republic.

Expected goals race
12340′15′30′45′60′75′90′3.58Hwang In-Beom 67′Oh Hyeon-Gyu 80′2.18Ladislav Krejcí 59′
South Korea Czech Republic ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Son Heung-Min · 12′ · xG 0.20 · Shot BlockedLee Han-Beom · 12′ · xG 0.28 · Shot Off TargetLee Kang-In · 14′ · xG 0.04 · Shot On TargetSon Heung-Min · 14′ · xG 0.26 · Shot BlockedTomás Soucek · 22′ · xG 0.69 · Shot Off TargetPavel Sulc · 32′ · xG 0.04 · Shot Off TargetSon Heung-Min · 38′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Off TargetSon Heung-Min · 39′ · xG 0.13 · Shot Off TargetSon Heung-Min · 45'+2′ · xG 0.40 · Shot BlockedHwang In-Beom · 45'+3′ · xG 0.05 · Shot Off TargetHwang In-Beom · 49′ · xG 0.12 · Shot On TargetLee Jae-Sung · 49′ · xG 0.58 · Shot On TargetSon Heung-Min · 56′ · xG 0.24 · Shot On TargetLadislav Krejcí · 59′ · xG 0.45 · Goal - HeaderLee Jae-Sung · 61′ · xG 0.19 · Shot Off TargetHwang In-Beom · 67′ · xG 0.23 · GoalOh Hyeon-Gyu · 80′ · xG 0.68 · GoalAdam Hlozek · 82′ · xG 0.55 · Shot On TargetMichal Sadílek · 88′ · xG 0.02 · Shot On TargetMichal Sadílek · 90'+3′ · xG 0.21 · Shot On TargetKim Jin-Gyu · 90'+4′ · xG 0.12 · Shot BlockedAdam Hlozek · 90'+4′ · xG 0.23 · Shot Off Target
South Korea (attacking →) Czech Republic (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
South Korea  ·  match stats  ·  Czech Republic
61.5 Possession 38.5
15 Shots 7
6 On Target 4
4 Corners 5
9 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
3 Saves 4
1 Yellows 0
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
South Korea 44%draw 25%Czech Republic 31%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: South Korea 1820, Czech Republic 1770. The model priced this South Korea 44% / draw 25% / Czech Republic 31%, most likely score 1–1. A plausible-but-not-favoured outcome. The result moves 21 Elo points from Czech Republic to South Korea — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
59' GOALGoal! Korea Republic 0, Czechia 1. Ladislav Krejcí (Czechia) header from very close range to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Vladimír Coufal.
62' SUBSubstitution, Korea Republic. Hwang Hee-Chan replaces Lee Jae-Sung.
64' SUBSubstitution, Czechia. Adam Hlozek replaces Pavel Sulc.
64' SUBSubstitution, Czechia. Tomás Chory replaces Patrik Schick.
64' SUBSubstitution, Czechia. Michal Sadílek replaces Lukás Provod.
67' GOALGoal! Korea Republic 1, Czechia 1. Hwang In-Beom (Korea Republic) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Lee Kang-In.
69' SUBSubstitution, Korea Republic. Eom Ji-Sung replaces Lee Tae-Seok.
69' SUBSubstitution, Korea Republic. Oh Hyeon-Gyu replaces Son Heung-Min.
80' GOALGoal! Korea Republic 2, Czechia 1. Oh Hyeon-Gyu (Korea Republic) left footed shot from very close range to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Hwang In-Beom.
84' SUBSubstitution, Korea Republic. Kim Jin-Gyu replaces Hwang In-Beom.
84' SUBSubstitution, Korea Republic. Park Jin-Seob replaces Paik Seung-Ho.
84' SUBSubstitution, Czechia. Mojmír Chytil replaces Alexandr Sojka.
90'+6' YELLOWLee Gi-Hyuk (Korea Republic) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
Lineups
South Korea
3-4-2-1
  • 1Kim Seung-Gyu G
  • 4Kim Min-Jae CD
  • 3Lee Gi-Hyuk CD-L
  • 2Lee Han-Beom CD-R
  • 8Paik Seung-Ho CM-L
  • 6Hwang In-Beom CM-R
  • 13Lee Tae-Seok LM
  • 22Seol Young-Woo RM
  • 7Son Heung-Min F
  • 10Lee Jae-Sung CF-L
  • 19Lee Kang-In CF-R
Subs: Hwang Hee-Chan, Eom Ji-Sung, Oh Hyeon-Gyu, Kim Jin-Gyu, Park Jin-Seop
Czechia
3-4-2-1
  • 1Matej Kovár G
  • 4Robin Hranác CD
  • 7Ladislav Krejcí CD-L
  • 6Stepán Chaloupek CD-R
  • 24Alexandr Sojka CM-L
  • 22Tomás Soucek CM-R
  • 20Jaroslav Zelený LM
  • 5Vladimír Coufal RM
  • 10Patrik Schick F
  • 15Pavel Sulc CF-L
  • 17Lukás Provod CF-R
Subs: Adam Hlozek, Tomás Chorý, Michal Sadílek, Mojmír Chytil
← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).