World Cup 2026

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Matchday 6 · Group J · 2026-06-16
Austria
xG 2.30
HT 1–03 – 1
Jordan
xG 1.65
Austria Romano Schmid 21′, Yazan Al-Arab 76′ (o.g.), Marko Arnautovic 90+12′ (pen.)  ·  Jordan Ali Olwan 50′
Levi's Stadium · 68,527 attendance
The story

The favourite delivered: Austria (60% pre-match) beat Jordan 3–1. The decisive moment came late, in the 90th minute.

Expected goals race
120′15′30′45′60′75′90′2.30Romano Schmid 21′Marko Arnautovic 90′1.65Ali Olwan 50′
Austria Jordan ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Ehsan Haddad · 2′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off TargetMousa Al Tamari · 9′ · xG 0.06 · Shot On TargetDavid Alaba · 11′ · xG 0.05 · Shot Off TargetOdeh Fakhoury · 17′ · xG 0.13 · Shot On TargetMarcel Sabitzer · 19′ · xG 0.08 · Shot BlockedRomano Schmid · 21′ · xG 0.10 · Goal? · 22′ · xG 0.23 · Shot Hit WoodworkSasa Kalajdzic · 30′ · xG 0.26 · Shot Off TargetStefan Posch · 33′ · xG 0.27 · Shot Off TargetAli Olwan · 34′ · xG 0.14 · Shot On TargetMousa Al Tamari · 34′ · xG 0.32 · Shot BlockedMousa Al Tamari · 44′ · xG 0.06 · Shot BlockedMousa Al Tamari · 45'+1′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off TargetSasa Kalajdzic · 45'+4′ · xG 0.04 · Shot Off TargetAli Olwan · 50′ · xG 0.17 · GoalAli Olwan · 55′ · xG 0.22 · Shot BlockedStefan Posch · 60′ · xG 0.16 · Shot Off TargetCarney Chukwuemeka · 63′ · xG 0.28 · Shot BlockedMarko Arnautovic · 90'+2′ · xG 0.22 · Shot On TargetAli Azaizeh · 90'+3′ · xG 0.05 · Shot Off TargetKonrad Laimer · 90'+4′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Off TargetMarko Arnautovic · 90'+12′ · xG 0.76 · Penalty - Scored
Austria (attacking →) Jordan (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
Austria  ·  match stats  ·  Jordan
63.2 Possession 36.8
11 Shots 11
4 On Target 4
4 Corners 3
12 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 1
3 Saves 1
1 Yellows 0
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
Austria 60%draw 22%Jordan 18%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: Austria 1830, Jordan 1670. The model priced this Austria 60% / draw 22% / Jordan 18%, most likely score 1–0. The model called it. The result moves 21 Elo points from Jordan to Austria — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
21' GOALGoal! Austria 1, Jordan 0. Romano Schmid (Austria) right footed shot from outside the box to the top right corner. Assisted by Xaver Schlager.
45' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Marko Arnautovic replaces Sasa Kalajdzic.
50' GOALGoal! Austria 1, Jordan 1. Ali Olwan (Jordan) right footed shot from the left side of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Noor Al Rawabdeh following a fast break.
59' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Paul Wanner replaces Phillipp Mwene.
59' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Kevin Danso replaces David Alaba.
59' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Carney Chukwuemeka replaces Xaver Schlager.
72' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Saleem Obaid replaces Mohammad Abu Al Nadi.
76' GOALOwn Goal by Yazan Al Arab, Jordan. Austria 2, Jordan 1.
77' YELLOWMarcel Sabitzer (Austria) is shown the yellow card.
81' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Saed Al Rosan replaces Abdallah Nasib because of an injury.
81' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Mahmoud Al Mardi replaces Ehsan Haddad.
83' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Patrick Wimmer replaces Romano Schmid.
88' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Mohammad Al Daoud replaces Mousa Al Tamari.
89' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Ali Azaizeh replaces Odeh Fakhoury.
90'+12' PEN GOALGoal! Austria 3, Jordan 1. Marko Arnautovic (Austria) converts the penalty with a right footed shot to the bottom left corner.
Lineups
Austria
4-2-3-1
  • 1Alexander Schlager G
  • 8David Alaba CD-L
  • 15Philipp Lienhart CD-R
  • 16Phillipp Mwene LB
  • 5Stefan Posch RB
  • 20Konrad Laimer AM
  • 4Xaver Schlager LM
  • 6Nicolas Seiwald RM
  • 14Sasa Kalajdzic F
  • 9Marcel Sabitzer AM-L
  • 18Romano Schmid AM-R
Subs: Marko Arnautovic, Paul Wanner, Kevin Danso, Carney Chukwuemeka, Patrick Wimmer
Jordan
3-4-2-1
  • 1Yazeed Abulaila G
  • 5Yazan Al-Arab CD
  • 16Mohammad Abualnadi CD-L
  • 3Abdallah Nasib CD-R
  • 8Noor Al-Rawabdeh CM-L
  • 21Nizar Al-Rashdan CM-R
  • 20Mohannad Abu Taha LM
  • 23Ehsan Haddad RM
  • 10Mousa Al-Tamari F
  • 9Ali Olwan CF-L
  • 11Odeh Fakhoury CF-R
Subs: Saleem Obaid, Saed Al-Rosan, Mahmoud Al-Mardi, Mohammad Al-Daoud, Ali Azaizeh
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Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).