World Cup 2026

← All matches
Matchday 6 · Group I · 2026-06-16
Iraq
xG 2.85
HT 1–21 – 4
Norway
xG 5.00
Iraq Aymen Hussein 39′  ·  Norway Erling Haaland 29′, Erling Haaland 43′, Leo Østigard 76′, Aymen Hussein 90+6′ (o.g.)
Gillette Stadium · 63,106 attendance
The story

Norway made a statement — a 4–1 dismantling of Iraq. The decisive moment came late, in the 90th minute.

Expected goals race
123450′15′30′45′60′75′90′2.85Aymen Hussein 39′5.00Erling Haaland 29′Erling Haaland 43′Leo Østigård 76′
Iraq Norway ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Aymen Hussein · 5′ · xG 0.32 · Shot Off TargetAli Al Hamadi · 13′ · xG 0.18 · Shot Off TargetErling Haaland · 20′ · xG 0.40 · Shot Off TargetAlexander Sørloth · 24′ · xG 0.32 · Shot BlockedZaid Tahseen · 28′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Off TargetErling Haaland · 29′ · xG 0.91 · GoalAlexander Sørloth · 31′ · xG 0.23 · Shot BlockedMartin Ødegaard · 37′ · xG 0.09 · Shot Off TargetAymen Hussein · 39′ · xG 0.32 · Goal - HeaderErling Haaland · 43′ · xG 0.82 · Shot On TargetErling Haaland · 43′ · xG 0.85 · GoalAli Al Hamadi · 45'+3′ · xG 0.44 · Shot Off TargetIbrahim Bayesh · 45'+3′ · xG 0.54 · Shot BlockedZaid Tahseen · 45'+4′ · xG 0.37 · Shot Off TargetAli Al Hamadi · 45'+5′ · xG 0.14 · Shot BlockedAkam Hashim · 45'+6′ · xG 0.10 · Shot Off TargetAymen Hussein · 53′ · xG 0.20 · Shot Off TargetHussein Ali · 63′ · xG 0.17 · Shot Off TargetKristian Thorstvedt · 76′ · xG 0.21 · Shot BlockedLeo Østigård · 76′ · xG 0.56 · Goal - HeaderLeo Østigård · 82′ · xG 0.22 · Shot Off TargetErling Haaland · 83′ · xG 0.15 · Shot On TargetKristian Thorstvedt · 90'+1′ · xG 0.23 · Shot Off Target
Iraq (attacking →) Norway (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
Iraq  ·  match stats  ·  Norway
38.7 Possession 61.3
11 Shots 12
1 On Target 5
2 Corners 5
12 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 0
1 Yellows 0
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
Iraq 15%draw 20%Norway 64%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: Iraq 1660, Norway 1850. The model priced this Iraq 15% / draw 20% / Norway 64%, most likely score 0–2. The model called it. The result moves 22 Elo points from Iraq to Norway — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
29' GOALGoal! Iraq 0, Norway 1. Erling Haaland (Norway) left footed shot from very close range to the top right corner. Assisted by David Møller Wolfe with a cross.
39' GOALGoal! Iraq 1, Norway 1. Aymen Hussein (Iraq) header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Amir Al Ammari with a cross.
43' GOALGoal! Iraq 1, Norway 2. Erling Haaland (Norway) right footed shot from very close range to the centre of the goal.
59' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Zidane Iqbal replaces Zaid Ismael.
59' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Marko Farji replaces Ali Al Hamadi.
73' SUBSubstitution, Norway. Andreas Schjelderup replaces Antonio Nusa.
73' SUBSubstitution, Norway. Kristian Thorstvedt replaces Fredrik Aursnes.
73' SUBSubstitution, Norway. Oscar Bobb replaces Alexander Sørloth.
73' SUBSubstitution, Norway. Leo Østigård replaces David Møller Wolfe because of an injury.
73' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Mustafa Saadoon replaces Hussein Ali.
73' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Ahmed Qasem replaces Ali Jasim because of an injury.
76' GOALGoal! Iraq 1, Norway 3. Leo Østigård (Norway) header from very close range to the high centre of the goal. Assisted by Martin Ødegaard with a cross following a corner.
78' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Mohanad Ali replaces Ibrahim Bayesh.
81' SUBSubstitution, Norway. Patrick Berg replaces Martin Ødegaard.
86' YELLOWZaid Tahseen (Iraq) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
90'+6' GOALOwn Goal by Aymen Hussein, Iraq. Iraq 1, Norway 4.
Lineups
Iraq
4-4-2
  • 12Jalal Hassan G
  • 5Akam Hashim CD-L
  • 4Zaid Tahseen CD-R
  • 23Merchas Doski LB
  • 3Hussein Ali RB
  • 16Amir Al-Ammari CM-L
  • 24Zaid Ismael CM-R
  • 17Ali Jasim LM
  • 8Ibrahim Bayesh RM
  • 9Ali Al-Hamadi CF-L
  • 18Aymen Hussein CF-R
Subs: Zidane Iqbal, Marko Farji, Mustafa Saadoon, Ahmed Qasim, Mohanad Ali
Norway
4-4-2
  • 1Ørjan Nyland G
  • 17Torbjørn Heggem CD-L
  • 3Kristoffer Ajer CD-R
  • 5David Møller Wolfe LB
  • 26Julian Ryerson RB
  • 14Fredrik Aursnes CM-L
  • 8Sander Berge CM-R
  • 20Antonio Nusa LM
  • 10Martin Ødegaard RM
  • 9Erling Haaland CF-L
  • 7Alexander Sørloth CF-R
Subs: Andreas Schjelderup, Kristian Thorstvedt, Oscar Bobb, Leo Østigard, Patrick Berg
← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).