World Cup 2026

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Matchday 8 · Group B · 2026-06-18
Canada
xG 8.84
HT 3–06 – 0
Qatar
xG 0.32
Canada Cyle Larin 16′, Jonathan David 29′, Jonathan David 45+3′, Nathan Saliba 64′, Mohamed Manai 75′ (o.g.), Jonathan David 90+2′
BC Place · 52,497 attendance
The story

Canada made a statement — a 6–0 dismantling of Qatar. The xG race (8.84 vs 0.32) says it was as one-sided as the scoreline suggests. The decisive moment came late, in the 90th minute. Tempers frayed — 2 red cards shown.

Expected goals race
123456789100′15′30′45′60′75′90′8.84Cyle Larin 16′Jonathan David 29′Jonathan David 45′Nathan Saliba 64′Jonathan David 90′0.32
Canada Qatar ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Edmílson Junior · 1′ · xG 0.25 · Shot Off TargetJonathan David · 7′ · xG 0.19 · Shot On TargetBoualem Khoukhi · 10′ · xG 0.06 · Shot BlockedStephen Eustaquio · 15′ · xG 0.13 · Shot BlockedJonathan David · 16′ · xG 0.26 · Shot On TargetCyle Larin · 16′ · xG 0.81 · GoalDerek Cornelius · 21′ · xG 0.27 · Shot Off TargetTajon Buchanan · 29′ · xG 0.06 · Shot BlockedJonathan David · 29′ · xG 0.21 · Goal - VolleyAli Ahmed · 35′ · xG 0.15 · Shot Off TargetTajon Buchanan · 38′ · xG 0.66 · Shot BlockedJonathan David · 40′ · xG 0.13 · Shot BlockedCyle Larin · 45′ · xG 0.18 · Shot BlockedCyle Larin · 45'+3′ · xG 0.34 · Shot On TargetJonathan David · 45'+3′ · xG 0.95 · Goal - VolleyAlistair Johnston · 45'+5′ · xG 0.17 · Shot On TargetIsmaël Koné · 48′ · xG 0.19 · Shot BlockedCyle Larin · 50′ · xG 0.38 · Shot BlockedNathan Saliba · 64′ · xG 0.09 · Goal - Free-kickTajon Buchanan · 75′ · xG 0.17 · Shot BlockedJacob Shaffelburg · 75′ · xG 0.33 · Shot BlockedTajon Buchanan · 77′ · xG 0.08 · Shot Off TargetRichie Laryea · 78′ · xG 0.09 · Shot BlockedJacob Shaffelburg · 80′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Off TargetJacob Shaffelburg · 82′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off TargetJonathan David · 84′ · xG 0.15 · Shot BlockedTani Oluwaseyi · 84′ · xG 0.37 · Shot BlockedJonathan David · 86′ · xG 0.09 · Shot BlockedNiko Sigur · 90′ · xG 0.14 · Shot BlockedNathan Saliba · 90'+2′ · xG 0.10 · Shot BlockedJonathan David · 90'+2′ · xG 0.42 · GoalCyle Larin · 90'+5′ · xG 0.47 · Shot BlockedCyle Larin · 90'+8′ · xG 0.54 · Shot Off TargetJonathan David · 90'+9′ · xG 0.36 · Shot BlockedNathan Saliba · 90'+10′ · xG 0.16 · Shot Off Target
Canada (attacking →) Qatar (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
Canada  ·  match stats  ·  Qatar
79 Possession 21
32 Shots 2
10 On Target 0
19 Corners 1
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
0 Saves 4
1 Yellows 1
0 Reds 2
What the model expected
Canada 58%draw 23%Qatar 20%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: Canada 1784, Qatar 1691. The model priced this Canada 58% / draw 23% / Qatar 20%, most likely score 1–0. The model called it. The result moves 32 Elo points from Qatar to Canada — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
9' YELLOWDerek Cornelius (Canada) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
16' GOALGoal! Canada 1, Qatar 0. Cyle Larin (Canada) left footed shot from very close range to the bottom right corner following a corner.
29' GOALGoal! Canada 2, Qatar 0. Jonathan David (Canada) right footed shot from the right side of the box to the bottom right corner.
33' REDHomam El Amin (Qatar) is shown the red card.
40' SUBSubstitution, Qatar. Sultan Al Brake replaces Yusuf Abdurisag.
45'+3' GOALGoal! Canada 3, Qatar 0. Jonathan David (Canada) right footed shot from very close range to the centre of the goal.
45' SUBSubstitution, Qatar. Ahmed Fathy replaces Edmílson Junior.
45' SUBSubstitution, Qatar. Mohammad Al Manai replaces Jassem Gaber.
45' SUBSubstitution, Canada. Moïse Bombito replaces Derek Cornelius.
53' REDAssim Madibo (Qatar) is shown the red card.
57' SUBSubstitution, Canada. Nathan Saliba replaces Ismaël Koné because of an injury.
59' SUBSubstitution, Qatar. Al Hashmi Al Hussain replaces Akram Afif.
62' YELLOWAhmed Fathy (Qatar) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
64' GOALGoal! Canada 4, Qatar 0. Nathan Saliba (Canada) from a free kick with a right footed shot to the bottom right corner.
71' SUBSubstitution, Canada. Jacob Shaffelburg replaces Luc De Fougerolles.
71' SUBSubstitution, Canada. Tani Oluwaseyi replaces Ali Ahmed.
75' GOALOwn Goal by Mohammad Al Manai, Qatar. Canada 5, Qatar 0.
83' SUBSubstitution, Canada. Niko Sigur replaces Tajon Buchanan.
87' SUBSubstitution, Qatar. Lucas Mendes replaces Ahmed Fathy.
90'+2' GOALGoal! Canada 6, Qatar 0. Jonathan David (Canada) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the top left corner. Assisted by Nathan Saliba.
Lineups
Canada
4-4-2
  • 16Maxime Crépeau G
  • 13Derek Cornelius CD-L
  • 4Luc de Fougerolles CD-R
  • 22Richie Laryea LB
  • 2Alistair Johnston RB
  • 7Stephen Eustáquio CM-L
  • 8Ismaël Koné CM-R
  • 20Ali Ahmed LM
  • 17Tajon Buchanan RM
  • 9Cyle Larin CF-L
  • 10Jonathan David CF-R
Subs: Moïse Bombito, Nathan Saliba, Jacob Shaffelburg, Tani Oluwaseyi, Niko Sigur
Qatar
4-3-3
  • 1Mahmoud Abunada G
  • 16Boualem Khoukhi CD-L
  • 2Pedro Miguel CD-R
  • 14Homam Ahmed LB
  • 13Ayoub Al-Oui RB
  • 23Assim Madibo CM
  • 4Issa Laye LM
  • 5Jassem Gaber RM
  • 15Yusuf Abdurisag F
  • 11Akram Afif LF
  • 8Edmílson Junior RF
Subs: Sultan Al-Brake, Ahmed Fathy, Mohamed Manai, Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain, Lucas Mendes
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Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).