Switzerland 4–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Matchday 8 · Group B · 2026-06-18

Switzerland

xG 3.17

HT 0–04 – 1

Bosnia & Herzegovina

xG 0.89

Switzerland Johan Manzambi 74′, Johan Manzambi 90′, Rubén Vargas 84′, Granit Xhaka 90+7′ (pen.) · Bosnia & Herzegovina Ermin Mahmic 90+3′

SoFi Stadium · 70,026 attendance

The story

A mild upset: Switzerland (47% pre-match) got past Bosnia & Herzegovina. The decisive moment came late, in the 90th minute. Tempers frayed — 1 red card shown.

Expected goals race

Switzerland Bosnia & Herzegovina ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map

Switzerland (attacking →) Bosnia & Herzegovina (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal

Switzerland · match stats · Bosnia & Herzegovina

62.3 Possession 37.7

13 Shots 5

7 On Target 3

7 Corners 3

7 Fouls 18

3 Offsides 1

2 Saves 3

1 Yellows 2

0 Reds 1

What the model expected

Pre-match Elo: Switzerland 1839, Bosnia & Herzegovina 1766. The model priced this Switzerland 47% / draw 25% / Bosnia & Herzegovina 28%, most likely score 1–1. A plausible-but-not-favoured outcome. The result moves 35 Elo points from Bosnia & Herzegovina to Switzerland — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline

59' YELLOWAmar Dedic (Bosnia and Herzegovina) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

61' YELLOWEdin Dzeko (Bosnia and Herzegovina) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

63' SUBSubstitution, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Ivan Basic replaces Benjamin Tahirovic.

64' SUBSubstitution, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Esmir Bajraktarevic replaces Edin Dzeko.

65' YELLOWNico Elvedi (Switzerland) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

71' SUBSubstitution, Switzerland. Djibril Sow replaces Michel Aebischer.

71' SUBSubstitution, Switzerland. Johan Manzambi replaces Dan Ndoye.

71' SUBSubstitution, Switzerland. Rubén Vargas replaces Fabian Rieder.

74' GOALGoal! Switzerland 1, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0. Johan Manzambi (Switzerland) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the top right corner.

80' REDTarik Muharemovic (Bosnia and Herzegovina) is shown the red card.

84' GOALGoal! Switzerland 2, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0. Rubén Vargas (Switzerland) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Breel Embolo.

86' SUBSubstitution, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Jovo Lukic replaces Ermedin Demirovic.

86' SUBSubstitution, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Amir Hadziahmetovic replaces Ivan Sunjic.

86' SUBSubstitution, Switzerland. Luca Jaquez replaces Silvan Widmer.

89' SUBSubstitution, Switzerland. Cedric Itten replaces Breel Embolo.

90' GOALGoal! Switzerland 3, Bosnia and Herzegovina 0. Johan Manzambi (Switzerland) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Rubén Vargas.

90'+1' SUBSubstitution, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Ermin Mahmic replaces Kerim Alajbegovic.

90'+3' GOALGoal! Switzerland 3, Bosnia and Herzegovina 1. Ermin Mahmic (Bosnia and Herzegovina) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the high centre of the goal following a corner.

90'+7' PEN GOALGoal! Switzerland 4, Bosnia and Herzegovina 1. Granit Xhaka (Switzerland) converts the penalty with a left footed shot to the bottom right corner.

Lineups

Switzerland

4-3-1-2

1Gregor Kobel G
5Manuel Akanji CD-L
4Nico Elvedi CD-R
13Ricardo Rodríguez LB
3Silvan Widmer RB
11Dan Ndoye M
10Granit Xhaka CM
22Fabian Rieder AM
8Remo Freuler LM
20Michel Aebischer RM
7Breel Embolo CF-R

Subs: Djibril Sow, Johan Manzambi, Rubén Vargas, Luca Jaquez, Cedric Itten

Bosnia-Herzegovina

4-4-2

1Nikola Vasilj G
4Tarik Muharemovic CD-L
18Nikola Katic CD-R
5Sead Kolasinac LB
7Amar Dedic RB
14Ivan Sunjic CM-L
6Benjamin Tahirovic CM-R
19Kerim Alajbegovic LM
15Amar Memic RM
11Edin Dzeko CF-L
10Ermedin Demirovic CF-R

Subs: Ivan Basic, Esmir Bajraktarevic, Jovo Lukic, Amir Hadziahmetovic, Ermin Mahmic

World Cup 2026