World Cup 2026

← All matches
Matchday 9 · Group D · 2026-06-19
USA
xG 0.00
HT 2–02 – 0
Australia
xG 3.73
USA Cameron Burgess 11′ (o.g.), Alex Freeman 43′
Lumen Field · 66,925 attendance
The story

The favourite delivered: USA (51% pre-match) beat Australia 2–0. The xG race tells a different story though: Australia created more (3.73 vs 0.00) and will feel hard done by.

Expected goals race
12340′15′30′45′60′75′90′0.003.73Alex Freeman 43′
USA Australia ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Mohamed Touré · 1′ · xG 0.09 · Shot On TargetRicardo Pepi · 5′ · xG 0.25 · Shot BlockedSergiño Dest · 9′ · xG 0.17 · Shot BlockedMathew Leckie · 12′ · xG 0.20 · Shot Off TargetWeston McKennie · 15′ · xG 0.52 · Shot BlockedWeston McKennie · 17′ · xG 0.21 · Shot Off TargetFolarin Balogun · 22′ · xG 0.22 · Shot BlockedRicardo Pepi · 38′ · xG 0.27 · Shot Off TargetSergiño Dest · 43′ · xG 0.15 · Shot BlockedAlex Freeman · 43′ · xG 0.58 · Goal - HeaderSergiño Dest · 45'+7′ · xG 0.12 · Shot On TargetFolarin Balogun · 51′ · xG 0.19 · Shot BlockedFolarin Balogun · 54′ · xG 0.27 · Shot BlockedCristian Volpato · 62′ · xG 0.19 · Shot Off TargetConnor Metcalfe · 65′ · xG 0.15 · Shot On TargetAlessandro Circati · 87′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off Target
USA (attacking →) Australia (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
USA  ·  match stats  ·  Australia
61.9 Possession 38.1
10 Shots 5
2 On Target 2
7 Corners 4
12 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 1
3 Yellows 4
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
USA 51%draw 24%Australia 25%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: USA 1870, Australia 1825. The model priced this USA 51% / draw 24% / Australia 25%, most likely score 1–1. The model called it. The result moves 28 Elo points from Australia to USA — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
11' GOALOwn Goal by Cameron Burgess, Australia. USA 1, Australia 0.
16' YELLOWJordan Bos (Australia) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
32' YELLOWAlessandro Circati (Australia) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
43' GOALGoal! USA 2, Australia 0. Alex Freeman (USA) header from very close range to the bottom right corner following a set piece situation.Goal awarded following VAR Review.
45' SUBSubstitution, Australia. Jason Geria replaces Cameron Burgess.
45' SUBSubstitution, Australia. Connor Metcalfe replaces Nishan Velupillay.
45' SUBSubstitution, Australia. Nestory Irankunda replaces Mohamed Touré.
56' YELLOWAntonee Robinson (USA) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
61' SUBSubstitution, Australia. Cristian Volpato replaces Mathew Leckie because of an injury.
74' SUBSubstitution, USA. Sebastian Berhalter replaces Ricardo Pepi.
78' SUBSubstitution, Australia. Jackson Irvine replaces Paul Okon-Engstler.
80' SUBSubstitution, USA. Joe Scally replaces Sergiño Dest.
80' SUBSubstitution, USA. Auston Trusty replaces Antonee Robinson.
88' YELLOWHarry Souttar (Australia) is shown the yellow card.
89' YELLOWFolarin Balogun (USA) is shown the yellow card.
89' YELLOWJacob Italiano (Australia) is shown the yellow card.
90'+3' YELLOWChris Richards (USA) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
90'+6' SUBSubstitution, USA. Haji Wright replaces Folarin Balogun.
90'+6' SUBSubstitution, USA. Giovanni Reyna replaces Weston McKennie.
Lineups
United States
3-5-2
  • 24Matt Freese G
  • 3Chris Richards CD
  • 13Tim Ream CD-L
  • 16Alex Freeman CD-R
  • 17Malik Tillman CM-L
  • 8Weston McKennie CM-R
  • 4Tyler Adams AM
  • 5Antonee Robinson LM
  • 2Sergiño Dest RM
  • 9Ricardo Pepi CF-L
  • 20Folarin Balogun CF-R
Subs: Sebastian Berhalter, Joe Scally, Auston Trusty, Haji Wright, Giovanni Reyna
Australia
5-4-1
  • 18Patrick Beach G
  • 19Harry Souttar CD
  • 21Cameron Burgess CD-L
  • 3Alessandro Circati CD-R
  • 5Jordan Bos LB
  • 4Jacob Italiano RB
  • 24Paul Okon-Engstler CM-L
  • 13Aiden O'Neill CM-R
  • 23Nishan Velupillay LM
  • 7Mathew Leckie RM
  • 9Mohamed Toure F
Subs: Jason Geria, Connor Metcalfe, Nestory Irankunda, Cristian Volpato, Jackson Irvine
← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).