Ecuador 0–0 Curaçao — World Cup 2026

Matchday 10 · Group E · 2026-06-20

Ecuador

xG 6.79

HT 0–00 – 0

Curaçao

xG 1.16

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · 68,598 attendance

The story

A 0–0 draw — the model had that at 20%.

Expected goals race

Ecuador Curaçao ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map

Ecuador (attacking →) Curaçao (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal

Ecuador · match stats · Curaçao

74.8 Possession 25.2

27 Shots 10

15 On Target 3

9 Corners 0

7 Fouls 10

1 Offsides 2

3 Saves 15

1 Yellows 5

0 Reds 0

What the model expected

Pre-match Elo: Ecuador 1829, Curaçao 1625. The model priced this Ecuador 66% / draw 20% / Curaçao 14%, most likely score 2–0. Reality had other plans. The result moves 13 Elo points from Ecuador to Curaçao — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline

38' YELLOWJordy Alcívar (Ecuador) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

39' YELLOWLeandro Bacuna (Curaçao) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

45' SUBSubstitution, Ecuador. Kevin Rodríguez replaces Jordy Alcívar.

53' YELLOWJuninho Bacuna (Curaçao) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

56' YELLOWLivano Comenencia (Curaçao) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

70' SUBSubstitution, Ecuador. Nilson Angulo replaces Pervis Estupiñán.

75' YELLOWJuriën Gaari (Curaçao) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

75' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Kenji Gorré replaces Juninho Bacuna.

76' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Roshon van Eijma replaces Deveron Fonville.

76' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Jearl Margaritha replaces Tahith Chong.

83' SUBSubstitution, Ecuador. Ángelo Preciado replaces Alan Franco.

83' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Gervane Kastaneer replaces Jürgen Locadia because of an injury.

84' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Godfried Roemeratoe replaces Livano Comenencia.

89' SUBSubstitution, Ecuador. Jordy Caicedo replaces John Yeboah.

90'+1' YELLOWGervane Kastaneer (Curaçao) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

Lineups

Ecuador

3-1-4-2

1Hernán Galíndez G
6Willian Pacho CD
3Piero Hincapié CD-L
21Alan Franco CD-R
5Jordy Alcívar SW
23Moisés Caicedo CM-L
15Pedro Vite CM-R
7Pervis Estupiñán LM
9John Yeboah RM
13Enner Valencia CF-L
19Gonzalo Plata CF-R

Subs: Kevin Rodríguez, Nilson Angulo, Ángelo Preciado, Jordy Caicedo

Curaçao

5-4-1

1Eloy Room G
18Armando Obispo CD
5Sherel Floranus CD-L
3Juriën Gaari CD-R
24Deveron Fonville LB
20Joshua Brenet RB
10Leandro Bacuna CM-L
8Livano Comenencia CM-R
7Juninho Bacuna LM
21Tahith Chong RM
9Jürgen Locadia F

Subs: Kenji Gorré, Roshon van Eijma, Jearl Margaritha, Gervane Kastaneer, Godfried Roemeratoe

← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).