Tunisia 0–4 Japan — World Cup 2026

Matchday 10 · Group F · 2026-06-20

Tunisia

xG 0.21

HT 0–20 – 4

Japan

xG 3.24

Japan Daichi Kamada 4′, Ayase Ueda 31′, Ayase Ueda 83′, Junya Ito 69′

Estadio BBVA · 51,243 attendance

The story

Japan made a statement — a 4–0 dismantling of Tunisia. The xG race (3.24 vs 0.21) says it was as one-sided as the scoreline suggests.

Expected goals race

Tunisia Japan ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map

Tunisia (attacking →) Japan (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal

Tunisia · match stats · Japan

37.9 Possession 62.1

2 Shots 11

0 On Target 5

3 Corners 5

8 Fouls 15

1 Offsides 1

1 Saves 0

0 Yellows 0

0 Reds 0

What the model expected

Pre-match Elo: Tunisia 1718, Japan 1888. The model priced this Tunisia 17% / draw 21% / Japan 61%, most likely score 0–1. The model called it. The result moves 26 Elo points from Tunisia to Japan — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline

4' GOALGoal! Tunisia 0, Japan 1. Daichi Kamada (Japan) left footed shot from very close range to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Keito Nakamura.

31' GOALGoal! Tunisia 0, Japan 2. Ayase Ueda (Japan) right footed shot from the right side of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Ko Itakura following a fast break.

45' SUBSubstitution, Tunisia. Ismaël Gharbi replaces Elias Saad.

45' SUBSubstitution, Tunisia. Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida replaces Dylan Bronn.

64' SUBSubstitution, Tunisia. Firas Chaouat replaces Sebastian Tounekti.

69' GOALGoal! Tunisia 0, Japan 3. Junya Ito (Japan) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Ayase Ueda with a through ball.

73' SUBSubstitution, Japan. Junnosuke Suzuki replaces Daichi Kamada.

74' SUBSubstitution, Japan. Yukinari Sugawara replaces Ritsu Doan.

79' SUBSubstitution, Japan. Yuito Suzuki replaces Keito Nakamura.

79' SUBSubstitution, Japan. Ayumu Seko replaces Takehiro Tomiyasu.

83' GOALGoal! Tunisia 0, Japan 4. Ayase Ueda (Japan) header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Kaishu Sano with a cross.

84' SUBSubstitution, Japan. Keisuke Goto replaces Ayase Ueda.

90'+1' SUBSubstitution, Tunisia. Rani Khedira replaces Ellyes Skhiri.

90'+1' SUBSubstitution, Tunisia. Elias Achouri replaces Ali Abdi.

Lineups

Tunisia

3-4-2-1

16Aymen Dahmen G
3Montassar Talbi CD
4Omar Rekik CD-L
6Dylan Bronn CD-R
17Ellyes Skhiri CM-L
25Anis Slimane CM-R
2Ali Abdi LM
20Yan Valery RM
26Sebastian Tounekti F
10Hannibal Mejbri CF-L
8Elias Saad CF-R

Subs: Ismaël Gharbi, Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida, Firas Chaouat, Rani Khedira, Elias Achouri

Japan

3-4-2-1

1Zion Suzuki G
4Kou Itakura CD
21Hiroki Ito CD-L
22Takehiro Tomiyasu CD-R
7Ao Tanaka CM-L
24Kaishu Sano CM-R
13Keito Nakamura LM
10Ritsu Doan RM
18Ayase Ueda F
15Daichi Kamada CF-L
14Junya Ito CF-R

Subs: Junnosuke Suzuki, Yukinari Sugawara, Yuito Suzuki, Ayumu Seko, Keisuke Goto