World Cup 2026

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Matchday 11 · Group H · 2026-06-21
Spain
xG 4.78
HT 3–04 – 0
Saudi Arabia
xG 0.22
Spain Lamine Yamal 10′, Mikel Oyarzabal 21′, Mikel Oyarzabal 24′, Hassan Al-Tambakti 49′ (o.g.)
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · 68,239 attendance
The story

Spain made a statement — a 4–0 dismantling of Saudi Arabia. The xG race (4.78 vs 0.22) says it was as one-sided as the scoreline suggests.

Expected goals race
123450′15′30′45′60′75′90′4.78Lamine Yamal 10′Mikel Oyarzabal 21′Mikel Oyarzabal 24′0.22
Spain Saudi Arabia ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Álex Baena · 2′ · xG 0.16 · Shot BlockedLamine Yamal · 4′ · xG 0.06 · Shot Off TargetDani Olmo · 8′ · xG 0.09 · Shot Off TargetPedro Porro · 10′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Off TargetLamine Yamal · 10′ · xG 0.73 · GoalPedri · 13′ · xG 0.15 · Shot Off TargetÁlex Baena · 15′ · xG 0.06 · Shot Off TargetMikel Oyarzabal · 17′ · xG 0.07 · Shot On TargetDani Olmo · 21′ · xG 0.17 · Shot Off TargetMikel Oyarzabal · 21′ · xG 0.54 · GoalMikel Oyarzabal · 24′ · xG 0.83 · Goal - VolleyLamine Yamal · 30′ · xG 0.10 · Shot Off TargetAbdulelah Al Amri · 35′ · xG 0.00 · Shot Off Target? · 36′ · xG 0.08 · Shot Hit WoodworkLamine Yamal · 36′ · xG 0.07 · Shot On TargetLamine Yamal · 37′ · xG 0.12 · Shot BlockedMikel Oyarzabal · 42′ · xG 0.20 · Shot Off TargetRodri · 45'+1′ · xG 0.15 · Shot Off TargetSalem Al Dawsari · 45'+4′ · xG 0.14 · Shot BlockedMarc Cucurella · 49′ · xG 0.52 · Shot On TargetPedro Porro · 53′ · xG 0.18 · Shot On TargetFerran Torres · 53′ · xG 0.15 · Shot On TargetFerran Torres · 65′ · xG 0.18 · Shot Off TargetAbdullah Al Hamddan · 81′ · xG 0.07 · Shot On TargetMikel Merino · 90'+8′ · xG 0.10 · Shot Blocked
Spain (attacking →) Saudi Arabia (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
Spain  ·  match stats  ·  Saudi Arabia
67.1 Possession 32.9
22 Shots 3
8 On Target 1
6 Corners 1
10 Fouls 2
2 Offsides 3
1 Saves 5
0 Yellows 2
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
Spain 85%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: Spain 2078, Saudi Arabia 1713. The model priced this Spain 85% / draw 10% / Saudi Arabia 5%, most likely score 3–0. The model called it. The result moves 10 Elo points from Saudi Arabia to Spain — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
10' GOALGoal! Spain 1, Saudi Arabia 0. Lamine Yamal (Spain) right footed shot from the right side of the six yard box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Mikel Oyarzabal with a cross.
21' GOALGoal! Spain 2, Saudi Arabia 0. Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) left footed shot from the left side of the six yard box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Aymeric Laporte with a headed pass following a corner.
24' GOALGoal! Spain 3, Saudi Arabia 0. Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) left footed shot from very close range to the top right corner. Assisted by Dani Olmo with a headed pass.
30' YELLOWSalem Al Dawsari (Saudi Arabia) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
45' SUBSubstitution, Spain. Yéremy Pino replaces Lamine Yamal.
45' SUBSubstitution, Spain. Ferran Torres replaces Mikel Oyarzabal.
45' SUBSubstitution, Saudi Arabia. Mohamed Kanno replaces Abdullah Al Khaibari.
45' SUBSubstitution, Saudi Arabia. Abdullah Al Hamddan replaces Musab Al Juwayr.
49' GOALOwn Goal by Hassan Al Tambakti, Saudi Arabia. Spain 4, Saudi Arabia 0.
60' YELLOWMohamed Kanno (Saudi Arabia) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
60' SUBSubstitution, Saudi Arabia. Mohammed Abu Al Shamat replaces Feras Al Brikan.
60' SUBSubstitution, Saudi Arabia. Alaa Al Hejji replaces Abdulelah Al Amri.
61' SUBSubstitution, Spain. Mikel Merino replaces Dani Olmo.
61' SUBSubstitution, Spain. Nico Williams replaces Álex Baena.
70' SUBSubstitution, Spain. Fabián Ruiz replaces Pedri.
90' SUBSubstitution, Saudi Arabia. Khalid Al Ghannam replaces Nasser Al Dawsari.
Lineups
Spain
4-3-3
  • 23Unai Simón G
  • 14Aymeric Laporte CD-L
  • 22Pau Cubarsí CD-R
  • 24Marc Cucurella LB
  • 12Pedro Porro RB
  • 16Rodri CM
  • 20Pedri LM
  • 10Dani Olmo RM
  • 21Mikel Oyarzabal F
  • 15Álex Baena LF
  • 19Lamine Yamal RF
Subs: Yéremy Pino, Ferran Torres, Mikel Merino, Nico Williams, Fabián Ruiz
Saudi Arabia
5-4-1
  • 21Mohammed Al-Owais G
  • 3Ali Lajami CD
  • 5Hassan Al-Tambakti CD-L
  • 4Abdulelah Al-Amri CD-R
  • 24Moteb Al-Harbi LB
  • 12Saud Abdulhamid RB
  • 6Nasser Al-Dawsari CM-L
  • 15Abdullah Al-Khaibari CM-R
  • 10Salem Al-Dawsari LM
  • 7Musab Al-Juwayr RM
  • 9Feras Al-Brikan F
Subs: Mohamed Kanno, Abdullah Al-Hamdan, Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat, Ala Al-Hajji, Khalid Al-Ghannam
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Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).