World Cup 2026

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Matchday 13 · Group L · 2026-06-23
England
xG 3.86
HT 0–00 – 0
Ghana
xG 0.45
Gillette Stadium · 63,983 attendance
The story

A 0–0 draw — the model had that at 15%.

Expected goals race
12340′15′30′45′60′75′90′3.860.45
England Ghana ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Declan Rice · 14′ · xG 0.05 · Shot Off TargetElliot Anderson · 15′ · xG 0.20 · Shot BlockedDeclan Rice · 16′ · xG 0.21 · Shot BlockedJude Bellingham · 33′ · xG 0.14 · Shot BlockedDeclan Rice · 37′ · xG 0.23 · Shot Off TargetHarry Kane · 45'+3′ · xG 0.22 · Shot BlockedMarvin Senaya · 50′ · xG 0.19 · Shot BlockedNoni Madueke · 57′ · xG 0.14 · Shot BlockedAnthony Gordon · 57′ · xG 0.11 · Shot On TargetElliot Anderson · 61′ · xG 0.21 · Shot BlockedElliot Anderson · 62′ · xG 0.18 · Shot Off TargetElliot Anderson · 63′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Off TargetNoni Madueke · 64′ · xG 0.12 · Shot Off TargetHarry Kane · 69′ · xG 0.10 · Shot On TargetBukayo Saka · 70′ · xG 0.29 · Shot Off TargetPrince Adu · 79′ · xG 0.27 · Shot BlockedBukayo Saka · 86′ · xG 0.09 · Shot On Target? · 86′ · xG 0.36 · Shot Hit WoodworkHarry Kane · 86′ · xG 0.49 · Shot Off TargetNico O'Reilly · 90'+3′ · xG 0.30 · Shot Off TargetMarc Guéhi · 90'+3′ · xG 0.33 · Shot Blocked
England (attacking →) Ghana (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
England  ·  match stats  ·  Ghana
78.9 Possession 21.1
19 Shots 2
3 On Target 1
9 Corners 2
14 Fouls 24
2 Offsides 2
0 Saves 3
1 Yellows 1
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
England 77%draw 15%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: England 2066, Ghana 1774. The model priced this England 77% / draw 15% / Ghana 8%, most likely score 2–0. Reality had other plans. The result moves 17 Elo points from England to Ghana — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
41' YELLOWDeclan Rice (England) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
60' YELLOWIñaki Williams (Ghana) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
65' SUBSubstitution, England. Bukayo Saka replaces Anthony Gordon.
66' SUBSubstitution, England. Nico O'Reilly replaces Djed Spence.
66' SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Abdul Fatawu replaces Iñaki Williams.
67' SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Prince Adu replaces Jordan Ayew.
73' SUBSubstitution, England. Morgan Rogers replaces Jude Bellingham.
74' SUBSubstitution, England. Eberechi Eze replaces Elliot Anderson.
83' SUBSubstitution, England. Marcus Rashford replaces Noni Madueke.
87' SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Kojo Peprah Oppong replaces Marvin Senaya.
90'+5' SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Abdul Rahman Baba replaces Prince Adu.
Lineups
England
4-2-3-1
  • 1Jordan Pickford G
  • 6Marc Guéhi CD-L
  • 2Ezri Konsa CD-R
  • 25Djed Spence LB
  • 24Reece James RB
  • 10Jude Bellingham AM
  • 4Declan Rice LM
  • 8Elliot Anderson RM
  • 9Harry Kane F
  • 18Anthony Gordon AM-L
  • 20Noni Madueke AM-R
Subs: Bukayo Saka, Nico O'Reilly, Morgan Rogers, Eberechi Eze, Marcus Rashford
Ghana
4-1-4-1
  • 16Benjamin Asare G
  • 18Jerome Opoku CD-L
  • 4Jonas Adjetey CD-R
  • 5Thomas Partey DM
  • 14Gideon Mensah LB
  • 26Marvin Senaya RB
  • 8Kwasi Sibo CM-L
  • 3Caleb Yirenkyi CM-R
  • 11Antoine Semenyo LM
  • 19Iñaki Williams RM
  • 9Jordan Ayew F
Subs: Fatawu Issahaku, Prince Adu, Kojo Peprah Oppong, Baba Rahman
← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).