World Cup 2026

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Matchday 14 · Group C · 2026-06-24
Morocco
xG 5.57
HT 2–24 – 2
Haiti
xG 1.64
Morocco Achraf Hakimi 39′, Ismael Saibari 45+1′, Soufiane Rahimi 78′, Gessime Yassine 89′  ·  Haiti Yassine Bounou 10′ (o.g.), Wilson Isidor 43′
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · 68,239 attendance
The story

The favourite delivered: Morocco (84% pre-match) beat Haiti 4–2. The decisive moment came late, in the 89th minute.

Expected goals race
1234560′15′30′45′60′75′90′5.57Achraf Hakimi 39′Ismael Saibari 45′Soufiane Rahimi 78′Gessime Yassine 89′1.64Wilson Isidor 43′
Morocco Haiti ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · 8′ · xG 0.06 · Shot Off TargetLenny Joseph · 10′ · xG 0.82 · Shot Off TargetAyoub El Kaabi · 12′ · xG 0.11 · Shot On TargetIsmael Saibari · 13′ · xG 0.57 · Shot Off TargetIsmael Saibari · 14′ · xG 0.14 · Shot BlockedIsmael Saibari · 23′ · xG 0.15 · Shot Off TargetAyoub El Kaabi · 28′ · xG 0.22 · Shot Off TargetAchraf Hakimi · 30′ · xG 0.21 · Shot On TargetAyoub El Kaabi · 30′ · xG 0.28 · Shot On TargetLenny Joseph · 34′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off TargetIsmael Saibari · 36′ · xG 0.25 · Shot Off TargetAchraf Hakimi · 39′ · xG 0.95 · GoalWilson Isidor · 43′ · xG 0.06 · GoalIsmael Saibari · 45'+1′ · xG 0.22 · GoalBrahim Díaz · 45'+3′ · xG 0.30 · Shot Off TargetBilal El Khannouss · 45'+4′ · xG 0.08 · Shot On TargetNeil El Aynaoui · 45'+5′ · xG 0.24 · Shot On TargetBilal El Khannouss · 59′ · xG 0.10 · Shot On TargetJean-Ricner Bellegarde · 64′ · xG 0.06 · Shot BlockedAchraf Hakimi · 75′ · xG 0.06 · Shot BlockedAchraf Hakimi · 75′ · xG 0.07 · Shot BlockedSoufiane Rahimi · 78′ · xG 0.28 · Shot BlockedChadi Riad · 78′ · xG 0.22 · Shot Off TargetSoufiane Rahimi · 78′ · xG 0.42 · GoalAchraf Hakimi · 88′ · xG 0.04 · Shot On TargetAzzedine Ounahi · 89′ · xG 0.09 · Shot BlockedGessime Yassine · 89′ · xG 0.58 · GoalDuckens Nazon · 90'+5′ · xG 0.06 · Shot On TargetJean-Ricner Bellegarde · 90'+5′ · xG 0.23 · Shot BlockedLouicius Deedson · 90'+8′ · xG 0.10 · Shot BlockedRicardo Adé · 90'+8′ · xG 0.10 · Shot Off Target
Morocco (attacking →) Haiti (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
Morocco  ·  match stats  ·  Haiti
69 Possession 31
22 Shots 9
11 On Target 2
9 Corners 1
10 Fouls 18
5 Offsides 0
1 Saves 8
0 Yellows 3
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
Morocco 84%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: Morocco 1942, Haiti 1579. The model priced this Morocco 84% / draw 10% / Haiti 5%, most likely score 2–0. The model called it. The result moves 8 Elo points from Haiti to Morocco — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
10' GOALOwn Goal by Yassine Bounou, Morocco. Morocco 0, Haiti 1.
39' GOALGoal! Morocco 1, Haiti 1. Achraf Hakimi (Morocco) left footed shot from very close range to the centre of the goal.
43' GOALGoal! Morocco 1, Haiti 2. Wilson Isidor (Haiti) right footed shot from outside the box to the top left corner. Assisted by Jean-Kévin Duverne.
45'+1' GOALGoal! Morocco 2, Haiti 2. Ismael Saibari (Morocco) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Achraf Hakimi.
67' SUBSubstitution, Haiti. Duckens Nazon replaces Ruben Providence.
67' SUBSubstitution, Haiti. Louicius Deedson replaces Wilson Isidor.
70' SUBSubstitution, Morocco. Soufiane Rahimi replaces Ismael Saibari.
70' SUBSubstitution, Morocco. Azzedine Ounahi replaces Brahim Díaz.
70' SUBSubstitution, Morocco. Gessime Yassine replaces Ayoub El Kaabi.
78' GOALGoal! Morocco 3, Haiti 2. Soufiane Rahimi (Morocco) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the top right corner. Assisted by Chadi Riad following a corner.
79' YELLOWJohny Placide (Haiti) is shown the yellow card.
80' YELLOWDuckens Nazon (Haiti) is shown the yellow card.
80' SUBSubstitution, Haiti. Carlens Arcus replaces Jean-Kévin Duverne.
80' SUBSubstitution, Haiti. Dominique Simon replaces Danley Jean Jacques.
83' SUBSubstitution, Morocco. Noussair Mazraoui replaces Anass Salah-Eddine.
83' SUBSubstitution, Morocco. Samir El Mourabet replaces Neil El Aynaoui.
83' SUBSubstitution, Haiti. Frantzdy Pierrot replaces Lenny Joseph.
89' GOALGoal! Morocco 4, Haiti 2. Gessime Yassine (Morocco) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Soufiane Rahimi.
90'+3' YELLOWJosué Casimir (Haiti) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
Lineups
Morocco
4-2-3-1
  • 1Yassine Bounou G
  • 18Chadi Riad CD-L
  • 25Redouane Halhal CD-R
  • 26Anass Salah-Eddine LB
  • 2Achraf Hakimi RB
  • 11Ismael Saibari AM
  • 4Sofyan Amrabat LM
  • 24Neil El Aynaoui RM
  • 20Ayoub El Kaabi F
  • 23Bilal El Khannouss AM-L
  • 10Brahim Díaz AM-R
Subs: Soufiane Rahimi, Azzedine Ounahi, Gessime Yassine, Noussair Mazraoui, Samir El Mourabet
Haiti
4-4-1-1
  • 1Johny Placide G
  • 5Hannes Delcroix CD-L
  • 4Ricardo Adé CD-R
  • 8Martin Expérience LB
  • 22Jean-Kévin Duverne RB
  • 10Jean-Ricner Bellegarde CM-L
  • 17Danley Jean Jacques CM-R
  • 15Ruben Providence LM
  • 21Josué Casimir RM
  • 16Lenny Joseph F
  • 18Wilson Isidor RCF
Subs: Duckens Nazon, Louicius Deedson, Carlens Arcus, Dominique Simon, Frantzdy Pierrot
← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).