World Cup 2026

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Matchday 15 · Group E · 2026-06-25
Curaçao
xG 1.77
HT 0–10 – 2
Ivory Coast
xG 2.06
Ivory Coast Nicolas Pépé 7′, Nicolas Pépé 64′
Lincoln Financial Field · 68,324 attendance
The story

The favourite delivered: Ivory Coast (60% pre-match) beat Curaçao 2–0.

Expected goals race
0.511.520′15′30′45′60′75′90′1.772.06Nicolas Pépé 7′Nicolas Pépé 64′
Curaçao Ivory Coast ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Tahith Chong · 2′ · xG 0.10 · Shot On TargetNicolas Pépé · 7′ · xG 0.77 · GoalAmad Diallo · 10′ · xG 0.11 · Shot Off TargetJuriën Gaari · 14′ · xG 0.06 · Shot Off TargetAmad Diallo · 18′ · xG 0.43 · Shot Off TargetAmad Diallo · 23′ · xG 0.16 · Shot Off TargetTahith Chong · 39′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Off TargetLeandro Bacuna · 44′ · xG 0.15 · Shot Off TargetJuriën Gaari · 45'+3′ · xG 0.24 · Shot Blocked? · 45'+3′ · xG 0.00 · Shot BlockedFranck Kessie · 53′ · xG 0.22 · Shot BlockedSherel Floranus · 55′ · xG 0.10 · Shot Off TargetNicolas Pépé · 64′ · xG 0.18 · GoalTahith Chong · 74′ · xG 0.09 · Shot On TargetLeandro Bacuna · 79′ · xG 0.35 · Shot Off TargetJuninho Bacuna · 79′ · xG 0.34 · Shot Off TargetElye Wahi · 89′ · xG 0.19 · Shot On TargetGervane Kastaneer · 90'+2′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off TargetJeremy Antonisse · 90'+3′ · xG 0.15 · Shot Blocked
Curaçao (attacking →) Ivory Coast (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
Curaçao  ·  match stats  ·  Ivory Coast
36.7 Possession 63.3
11 Shots 7
2 On Target 3
4 Corners 6
11 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 2
2 Yellows 1
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
Curaçao 18%draw 22%Ivory Coast 60%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: Curaçao 1639, Ivory Coast 1797. The model priced this Curaçao 18% / draw 22% / Ivory Coast 60%, most likely score 0–1. The model called it. The result moves 22 Elo points from Curaçao to Ivory Coast — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
7' GOALGoal! Curaçao 0, Côte d'Ivoire 1. Nicolas Pépé (Côte d'Ivoire) left footed shot from very close range to the centre of the goal. Assisted by Yan Diomande.
35' YELLOWNicolas Pépé (Côte d'Ivoire) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
45' SUBSubstitution, Côte d'Ivoire. Christ Inao Oulaï replaces Amad Diallo.
61' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Jeremy Antonisse replaces Livano Comenencia.
64' GOALGoal! Curaçao 0, Côte d'Ivoire 2. Nicolas Pépé (Côte d'Ivoire) left footed shot from the right side of the box to the top left corner. Assisted by Ibrahim Sangaré.
67' SUBSubstitution, Côte d'Ivoire. Oumar Diakité replaces Ange-Yoan Bonny.
67' SUBSubstitution, Côte d'Ivoire. Elye Wahi replaces Nicolas Pépé.
67' SUBSubstitution, Côte d'Ivoire. Bazoumana Touré replaces Yan Diomande.
75' YELLOWJuninho Bacuna (Curaçao) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
77' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Gervane Kastaneer replaces Juriën Gaari.
77' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Tyrese Noslin replaces Deveron Fonville.
77' SUBSubstitution, Côte d'Ivoire. Jean Michaël Seri replaces Franck Kessie.
83' YELLOWGervane Kastaneer (Curaçao) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
90' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Shurandy Sambo replaces Joshua Brenet.
90' SUBSubstitution, Curaçao. Brandley Kuwas replaces Jürgen Locadia.
Lineups
Curaçao
5-4-1
  • 1Eloy Room G
  • 18Armando Obispo CD
  • 24Deveron Fonville CD-L
  • 3Juriën Gaari CD-R
  • 5Sherel Floranus LB
  • 20Joshua Brenet RB
  • 10Leandro Bacuna CM-L
  • 8Livano Comenencia CM-R
  • 7Juninho Bacuna LM
  • 21Tahith Chong RM
  • 9Jürgen Locadia F
Subs: Jeremy Antonisse, Gervane Kastaneer, Tyrese Noslin, Shurandy Sambo, Brandley Kuwas
Ivory Coast
4-2-3-1
  • 1Yahia Fofana G
  • 2Ousmane Diomande CD-L
  • 7Odilon Kossounou CD-R
  • 13Christopher Operi LB
  • 17Guela Doué RB
  • 19Nicolas Pépé AM
  • 8Franck Kessié LM
  • 18Ibrahim Sangaré RM
  • 9Ange-Yoan Bonny F
  • 11Yan Diomande AM-L
  • 15Amad Diallo AM-R
Subs: Christ Inao Oulaï, Oumar Diakité, Elye Wahi, Bazoumana Touré, Jean Michaël Seri
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Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).