Senegal 5–0 Iraq — World Cup 2026

Matchday 16 · Group I · 2026-06-26

Senegal

xG 6.46

HT 1–05 – 0

Iraq

xG 0.50

Senegal Habib Diarra 4′, Ismaïla Sarr 56′, Pape Gueye 59′, Pape Gueye 71′, Iliman Ndiaye 82′

BMO Field · 43,036 attendance

The story

Senegal made a statement — a 5–0 dismantling of Iraq. The xG race (6.46 vs 0.50) says it was as one-sided as the scoreline suggests. Tempers frayed — 1 red card shown.

Expected goals race

Senegal Iraq ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map

Senegal (attacking →) Iraq (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal

Senegal · match stats · Iraq

69.2 Possession 30.8

28 Shots 6

12 On Target 1

12 Corners 3

10 Fouls 11

1 Offsides 0

1 Saves 7

2 Yellows 2

0 Reds 1

What the model expected

Pre-match Elo: Senegal 1801, Iraq 1631. The model priced this Senegal 61% / draw 21% / Iraq 17%, most likely score 1–0. The model called it. The result moves 27 Elo points from Iraq to Senegal — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline

4' GOALGoal! Senegal 1, Iraq 0. Habib Diarra (Senegal) right footed shot from very close range to the top right corner. Assisted by Abdoulaye Seck following a corner.

13' REDRebin Sulaka (Iraq) is shown the red card.

16' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Munaf Younus replaces Ahmed Qasem.

18' YELLOWAbdoulaye Seck (Senegal) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

45' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Jalal Hassan replaces Ahmed Basil because of an injury.

56' GOALGoal! Senegal 2, Iraq 0. Ismaïla Sarr (Senegal) right footed shot from very close range to the top left corner. Assisted by Lamine Camara.

57' SUBSubstitution, Senegal. Iliman Ndiaye replaces Ibrahim Mbaye.

57' SUBSubstitution, Senegal. Nicolas Jackson replaces Lamine Camara.

57' SUBSubstitution, Senegal. Pape Gueye replaces Habib Diarra.

58' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Ahmed Maknzi replaces Ali Jasim.

58' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Ali Yousif replaces Ali Al Hamadi.

58' SUBSubstitution, Senegal. Pathé Ciss replaces Abdoulaye Seck.

59' GOALGoal! Senegal 3, Iraq 0. Pape Gueye (Senegal) left footed shot from outside the box to the top left corner. Assisted by Ismaïla Sarr.

67' SUBSubstitution, Iraq. Kevin Yakob replaces Zidane Iqbal.

71' GOALGoal! Senegal 4, Iraq 0. Pape Gueye (Senegal) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Iliman Ndiaye with a headed pass.

75' YELLOWAmir Al Ammari (Iraq) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

81' SUBSubstitution, Senegal. Assane Diao replaces Ismaïla Sarr.

81' YELLOWPape Gueye (Senegal) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

82' GOALGoal! Senegal 5, Iraq 0. Iliman Ndiaye (Senegal) right footed shot from outside the box to the top right corner. Assisted by Pape Gueye.

90' YELLOWMerchas Doski (Iraq) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

Lineups

Senegal

4-3-3

23Mory Diaw G
19Moussa Niakhaté CD-L
4Abdoulaye Seck CD-R
14Ismail Jakobs LB
15Krépin Diatta RB
5Idrissa Gueye CM
8Lamine Camara LM
21Habib Diarra RM
18Ismaïla Sarr F
10Sadio Mané LF
20Ibrahim Mbaye RF

Subs: Iliman Ndiaye, Nicolas Jackson, Pape Gueye, Pathé Ciss, Assane Diao

Iraq

4-2-3-1

22Ahmed Basil G
5Akam Hashim CD-L
2Rebin Sulaka CD-R
23Merchas Doski LB
26Frans Putros RB
17Ali Jasim AM
16Amir Al-Ammari LM
14Zidane Iqbal RM
9Ali Al-Hamadi F
8Ibrahim Bayesh AM-L
11Ahmed Qasim AM-R

Subs: Munaf Younus, Jalal Hassan, Ahmed Maknazi, Ali Yousif, Kevin Yakob