Algeria 3–3 Austria — World Cup 2026

Matchday 17 · Group J · 2026-06-27

Algeria

xG 2.19

HT 1–13 – 3

Austria

xG 2.31

Algeria Rafik Belghali 45′, Riyad Mahrez 60′, Riyad Mahrez 90+3′ · Austria Marko Arnautovic 28′, Marcel Sabitzer 55′, Sasa Kalajdzic 90+6′

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · 69,045 attendance

The story

A 3–3 draw — the model had that at 25%. The decisive moment came late, in the 90th minute.

Expected goals race

Algeria Austria ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map

Algeria (attacking →) Austria (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal

Algeria · match stats · Austria

65 Possession 35

12 Shots 10

5 On Target 3

0 Corners 3

3 Fouls 7

1 Offsides 3

1 Saves 2

0 Yellows 1

0 Reds 0

What the model expected

Pre-match Elo: Algeria 1786, Austria 1839. The model priced this Algeria 30% / draw 25% / Austria 45%, most likely score 1–1. A plausible-but-not-favoured outcome. The result moves 4 Elo points from Austria to Algeria — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline

11' YELLOWMarko Arnautovic (Austria) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

28' GOALGoal! Algeria 0, Austria 1. Marko Arnautovic (Austria) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by David Alaba with a through ball.

45' GOALGoal! Algeria 1, Austria 1. Rafik Belghali (Algeria) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the top right corner.

45' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Michael Gregoritsch replaces Marko Arnautovic.

45' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Florian Grillitsch replaces Xaver Schlager.

45' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Paul Wanner replaces Romano Schmid.

55' GOALGoal! Algeria 1, Austria 2. Marcel Sabitzer (Austria) right footed shot from outside the box to the top right corner. Assisted by Konrad Laimer.

60' GOALGoal! Algeria 2, Austria 2. Riyad Mahrez (Algeria) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the top right corner. Assisted by Houssem Aouar.

62' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Kevin Danso replaces David Alaba.

71' SUBSubstitution, Algeria. Rayan Aït-Nouri replaces Jaouen Hadjam.

71' SUBSubstitution, Algeria. Zineddine Belaïd replaces Amine Gouiri.

71' SUBSubstitution, Algeria. Samir Chergui replaces Rafik Belghali.

90'+3' GOALGoal! Algeria 3, Austria 2. Riyad Mahrez (Algeria) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Houssem Aouar with a through ball.

90'+4' SUBSubstitution, Algeria. Farès Ghedjemis replaces Houssem Aouar.

90'+5' SUBSubstitution, Austria. Sasa Kalajdzic replaces Phillipp Mwene.

90'+6' GOALGoal! Algeria 3, Austria 3. Sasa Kalajdzic (Austria) header from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Michael Gregoritsch with a headed pass.

Lineups

Algeria

4-2-3-1

16Oussama Benbot G
21Ramy Bensebaini CD-L
2Aïssa Mandi CD-R
13Jaouen Hadjam LB
17Rafik Belghali RB
22Ibrahim Maza AM
19Nabil Bentaleb LM
10Farès Chaïbi RM
9Amine Gouiri F
8Houssem Aouar AM-L
7Riyad Mahrez AM-R

Subs: Rayan Aït-Nouri, Zineddine Belaïd, Samir Chergui, Farès Ghedjemis

Austria

4-2-3-1

1Alexander Schlager G
8David Alaba CD-L
15Philipp Lienhart CD-R
16Phillipp Mwene LB
5Stefan Posch RB
18Romano Schmid AM
4Xaver Schlager LM
6Nicolas Seiwald RM
7Marko Arnautovic F
9Marcel Sabitzer AM-L
20Konrad Laimer AM-R

Subs: Michael Gregoritsch, Florian Grillitsch, Paul Wanner, Kevin Danso, Sasa Kalajdzic