World Cup 2026

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Matchday 17 · Group J · 2026-06-27
Jordan
xG 1.03
HT 0–21 – 3
Argentina
xG 3.51
Jordan Mousa Al-Tamari 55′  ·  Argentina Giovani Lo Celso 19′, Lautaro Martínez 31′ (pen.), Lionel Messi 80′
AT&T Stadium · 70,649 attendance
The story

The favourite delivered: Argentina (92% pre-match) beat Jordan 3–1.

Expected goals race
12340′15′30′45′60′75′90′1.03Mousa Al Tamari 55′3.51Giovani Lo Celso 19′Lautaro Martínez 31′Lionel Messi 80′
Jordan Argentina ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map
Nicolás Otamendi · 13′ · xG 0.20 · Shot Off TargetGiovani Lo Celso · 19′ · xG 0.12 · Goal - Free-kick? · 28′ · xG 0.77 · Shot Hit WoodworkLautaro Martínez · 31′ · xG 0.76 · Penalty - ScoredOdeh Fakhoury · 35′ · xG 0.06 · Shot BlockedMohannad Abu Taha · 35′ · xG 0.10 · Shot BlockedAli Azaizeh · 38′ · xG 0.24 · Shot Off TargetJulián Alvarez · 45'+5′ · xG 0.21 · Shot On TargetMousa Al Tamari · 51′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off Target? · 53′ · xG 0.07 · Shot Hit WoodworkMousa Al Tamari · 55′ · xG 0.48 · GoalNico Paz · 59′ · xG 0.14 · Shot Off TargetLionel Messi · 65′ · xG 0.06 · Shot Off TargetLionel Messi · 80′ · xG 0.08 · Goal - Free-kickThiago Almada · 82′ · xG 0.09 · Shot Off TargetJosé Manuel López · 86′ · xG 0.13 · Shot BlockedMarcos Senesi · 90'+1′ · xG 0.88 · Shot Off Target
Jordan (attacking →) Argentina (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal
Jordan  ·  match stats  ·  Argentina
26.7 Possession 73.3
5 Shots 12
1 On Target 4
2 Corners 6
13 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 3
1 Saves 0
3 Yellows 0
0 Reds 0
What the model expected
Argentina 92%ACTUAL

Pre-match Elo: Jordan 1632, Argentina 2143. The model priced this Jordan 1% / draw 4% / Argentina 92%, most likely score 0–4. The model called it. The result moves 4 Elo points from Jordan to Argentina — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline
17' YELLOWMohannad Abu Taha (Jordan) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
19' GOALGoal! Jordan 0, Argentina 1. Giovani Lo Celso (Argentina) from a free kick with a left footed shot to the top left corner.
31' PEN GOALGoal! Jordan 0, Argentina 2. Lautaro Martínez (Argentina) converts the penalty with a right footed shot to the bottom left corner.
45' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Mahmoud Al Mardi replaces Odeh Fakhoury.
45' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Mousa Al Tamari replaces Ali Azaizeh.
55' GOALGoal! Jordan 1, Argentina 2. Mousa Al Tamari (Jordan) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the top left corner. Assisted by Ehsan Haddad with a cross.
60' SUBSubstitution, Argentina. Thiago Almada replaces Giovani Lo Celso.
60' SUBSubstitution, Argentina. Lionel Messi replaces Lautaro Martínez.
61' SUBSubstitution, Argentina. Alexis Mac Allister replaces Nico Paz.
64' YELLOWYazan Al Arab (Jordan) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
71' SUBSubstitution, Argentina. Valentín Barco replaces Giuliano Simeone.
76' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Amer Jamous replaces Nizar Al Rashdan.
80' GOALGoal! Jordan 1, Argentina 3. Lionel Messi (Argentina) from a free kick with a left footed shot to the bottom left corner.
82' SUBSubstitution, Argentina. José Manuel López replaces Julián Alvarez.
90' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Mohammad Abu Zraiq replaces Ali Olwan.
90' SUBSubstitution, Jordan. Saleem Obaid replaces Husam Abu Dahab because of an injury.
90'+4' YELLOWMohammad Abu Zraiq (Jordan) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
Lineups
Jordan
3-4-2-1
  • 1Yazeed Abulaila G
  • 5Yazan Al-Arab CD
  • 4Husam Abu Dahab CD-L
  • 3Abdallah Nasib CD-R
  • 8Noor Al-Rawabdeh CM-L
  • 21Nizar Al-Rashdan CM-R
  • 20Mohannad Abu Taha LM
  • 23Ehsan Haddad RM
  • 11Odeh Fakhoury F
  • 9Ali Olwan CF-L
  • 24Ali Azaizeh CF-R
Subs: Mahmoud Al-Mardi, Mousa Al-Tamari, Amer Jamous, Mohammed Abu Zraiq, Saleem Obaid
Argentina
4-4-2
  • 23Emiliano Martínez G
  • 2Marcos Senesi CD-L
  • 19Nicolás Otamendi CD-R
  • 3Nicolás Tagliafico LB
  • 14Exequiel Palacios RB
  • 5Leandro Paredes CM-L
  • 18Nico Paz CM-R
  • 11Giovani Lo Celso LM
  • 17Giuliano Simeone RM
  • 9Julián Álvarez CF-L
  • 22Lautaro Martínez CF-R
Subs: Thiago Almada, Lionel Messi, Alexis Mac Allister, Valentín Barco, José Manuel López
← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).