Panama 0–2 England — World Cup 2026

Matchday 17 · Group L · 2026-06-27

Panama

xG 2.15

HT 0–00 – 2

England

xG 3.52

England Jude Bellingham 62′, Harry Kane 67′

MetLife Stadium · 80,663 attendance

The story

The favourite delivered: England (84% pre-match) beat Panama 2–0.

Expected goals race

Panama England ● goal

Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.

Shot map

Panama (attacking →) England (attacking ←) size = xG · star = goal

Panama · match stats · England

32.9 Possession 67.1

13 Shots 17

2 On Target 6

3 Corners 7

16 Fouls 13

4 Offsides 4

4 Saves 2

2 Yellows 1

0 Reds 0

What the model expected

Pre-match Elo: Panama 1694, England 2049. The model priced this Panama 5% / draw 11% / England 84%, most likely score 0–2. The model called it. The result moves 9 Elo points from Panama to England — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.

Timeline

45' SUBSubstitution, Panama. José Fajardo replaces Tomás Rodríguez.

53' YELLOWJosé Fajardo (Panama) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

60' YELLOWJarell Quansah (England) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

62' GOALGoal! Panama 0, England 1. Jude Bellingham (England) left footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom left corner. Assisted by Bukayo Saka with a cross following a corner.

63' SUBSubstitution, England. Djed Spence replaces Jarell Quansah because of an injury.

63' SUBSubstitution, England. Noni Madueke replaces Bukayo Saka.

67' GOALGoal! Panama 0, England 2. Harry Kane (England) header from the centre of the box to the top left corner. Assisted by Jude Bellingham with a cross.

71' SUBSubstitution, England. Eberechi Eze replaces Jude Bellingham.

71' SUBSubstitution, Panama. Ismael Díaz replaces Yoel Bárcenas.

71' SUBSubstitution, Panama. Azarías Londoño replaces José Luis Rodríguez.

84' YELLOWAndrés Andrade (Panama) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.

84' SUBSubstitution, England. Jordan Henderson replaces Elliot Anderson.

84' SUBSubstitution, England. Ollie Watkins replaces Harry Kane.

88' SUBSubstitution, Panama. Alberto Quintero replaces Carlos Harvey.

88' SUBSubstitution, Panama. Éric Davis replaces Jorge Gutiérrez.

Lineups

Panama

5-4-1

22Orlando Mosquera G
3José Córdoba CD
16Andrés Andrade CD-L
4Fidel Escobar CD-R
26Jorge Gutiérrez LB
23Amir Murillo RB
11Édgar Yoel Bárcenas CM-L
14Carlos Harvey CM-R
7José Luis Rodríguez LM
6Cristian Martínez RM
9Tomás Rodríguez F

Subs: José Fajardo, Ismael Díaz, Azarias Londoño, Alberto Quintero, Éric Davis

England

4-1-4-1

1Jordan Pickford G
6Marc Guéhi CD-L
2Ezri Konsa CD-R
8Elliot Anderson DM
3Nico O'Reilly LB
26Jarell Quansah RB
10Jude Bellingham CM-L
17Morgan Rogers CM-R
11Marcus Rashford LM
7Bukayo Saka RM
9Harry Kane F

Subs: Djed Spence, Noni Madueke, Eberechi Eze, Jordan Henderson, Ollie Watkins

← Fixtures, table & predictions

Generated automatically from public match data. Stats: ESPN · Results: openfootball · xG: own naive model (distance + angle).