GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · 69,045 attendance
The story
The favourite delivered: Colombia (60% pre-match) beat Ghana 1–0.
Expected goals race
ColombiaGhana● goal
Cumulative expected goals, minute by minute. ESPN's free feed has no xG, so each shot's xG is estimated with a naive distance-and-angle logistic model fitted on shot coordinates from the play-by-play.
Pre-match Elo: Colombia 1935, Ghana 1774. The model priced this Colombia 60% / draw 22% / Ghana 18%, most likely score 1–0. The model called it. The result moves 14 Elo points from Ghana to Colombia — that flows straight into the next round of tournament simulations.
Timeline
8'SUBSubstitution, Colombia. Luis Suárez replaces Jhon Córdoba because of an injury.
12'YELLOWJhon Arias (Colombia) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
13'SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Alidu Seidu replaces Marvin Senaya because of an injury.
14'GOALGoal! Colombia 1, Ghana 0. Jhon Arias (Colombia) right footed shot from the centre of the box to the bottom right corner. Assisted by Luis Suárez with a cross.
45'SUBSubstitution, Colombia. Richard Ríos replaces James Rodríguez.
49'YELLOWCaleb Yirenkyi (Ghana) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
62'SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Abdul Fatawu replaces Iñaki Williams.
62'SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Elisha Owusu replaces Kwasi Sibo because of an injury.
66'YELLOWAbdul Fatawu (Ghana) is shown the yellow card.
73'SUBSubstitution, Colombia. Juan Fernando Quintero replaces Jhon Arias.
76'YELLOWAlidu Seidu (Ghana) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
78'YELLOWRichard Ríos (Colombia) is shown the yellow card for a bad foul.
79'SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Ernest Nuamah replaces Jordan Ayew.
79'SUBSubstitution, Ghana. Prince Adu replaces Caleb Yirenkyi.
90'SUBSubstitution, Colombia. Jaminton Campaz replaces Luis Díaz.
Lineups
Colombia
4-3-3
12Camilo Vargas G
3Jhon Lucumí CD-L
23Davinson Sánchez CD-R
17Johan Mojica LB
2Daniel Muñoz RB
16Jefferson Lerma CM
11Jhon Arias LM
14Gustavo Puerta RM
9Jhon Córdoba F
7Luis Díaz LF
10James Rodríguez RF
Subs: Luis Suárez, Richard Ríos, Juan Fernando Quintero, Jáminton Campaz
Ghana
4-1-4-1
1Lawrence Ati Zigi G
18Jerome Opoku CD-L
23Derrick Luckassen CD-R
5Thomas Partey DM
14Gideon Mensah LB
26Marvin Senaya RB
8Kwasi Sibo CM-L
3Caleb Yirenkyi CM-R
11Antoine Semenyo LM
19Iñaki Williams RM
9Jordan Ayew F
Subs: Alidu Seidu, Fatawu Issahaku, Elisha Owusu, Ernest Nuamah, Prince Adu